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The next cold front is just around the corner: Will Texas freeze over soon?

We've discovered that fall is one of two windy seasons in Texas due to cold fronts moving through the state quite frequently. Our first significant cold front moved through the state earlier this week, and now our second is heading our way. Could parts of Texas soon see their first frost?

Cold fronts are the main cause of cold weather. Makes sense, right? Our next cold front will move south across the Central Plains starting at 6 a.m. CT Thursday morning. This particular front likely won't cool the entire state, but temperatures will drop and winds will increase in the Texas Panhandle.

Map of the USA showing temperatures across the country on October 3rd

Temperatures across the country on Thursday, October 3, at 6 a.m. CT.Courtesy of the National Weather Service

The low temperature will be in the mid-50s as the first front passes – not quite below freezing yet. A secondary front is expected to bring cooler weather to most of the state Sunday night into Monday, but the temperature drop on this front is expected to be even smaller than the primary front.

What timeline do we realistically see for our first freeze? Fortunately, we still have a few weeks or even a month before some locations in Texas could experience their first freeze.

Animated map of Texas showing temperature forecasts as cold fronts move through

A model's temperature forecast changes as the next two cold fronts pass over Texas.Weathermodels.com

Only three major population centers in Texas are at higher risk of experiencing their first freeze in October. Dalhart typically experiences its first frost on October 18th, Hereford on October 22nd and Amarillo on October 24th. All of these locations are in the Panhandle, so many of us can be sure that it will be a while before we get to frozen pipe season.

In November, the largest population centers that, on average, experience their first frost are Lubbock on November 2nd, El Paso on November 9th, Wichita Falls on November 10th, Midland-Odessa and Abilene on November 13th, Dallas-Fort Worth on November 22nd and San Antonio on November 23rd. By Thanksgiving, many more Texans will have pulled out their hats, gloves and scarves due to the colder temperatures.

Few Texas cities wait until December before their first freeze, on average. These cities are Austin and Laredo on December 2nd, Houston on December 6th, Corpus Christi on December 11th and Galveston on December 17th. These cities have the shortest cold weather seasons, with average last frost dates in late January through February.

It's important to note that each of the dates listed above are the average first frost dates, not the date when you will or will not absolutely see below freezing temperatures. Weather conditions change from day to day, which can result in an unseasonable blast of cold air even before the average first frost. Conversely, warmer than normal conditions are expected on the path to La Niña.

If I didn't mention your city, feel free to check out this source that lists average first and last blackout dates, as well as other interesting data.

And of course, check back here at LoneStarLive.com for the latest weather updates that may affect you or your home.